Policy Research
Foundational Research Portfolio (2017–2025)
Our principal’s tenure at IFPRI involved leading the data analysis and co-authoring high-impact reports on the most critical challenges in global food systems:
- Agricultural Trade Policy & Market Volatility
Our founder was a core member of the research teams analyzing how domestic policies trigger global price shocks. This work provides the basis for CERE’s current trade intelligence services:
- Price Insulation Analysis: Conducted quantitative research on how trade policy responses—such as export restrictions during the Russia-Ukraine war—amplify international food price volatility.
- Policy Tracking Systems: Led the development and documentation for global trackers monitoring food and fertilizer export restrictions to enhance market transparency.
- Regional Deep-Dives: Analyzed the specific impacts of Indian rice export bans and Red Sea shipping disruptions on global supply chains.
- Reforming Agricultural Support & Climate Impact
Our expertise in modeling the intersection of economic productivity and environmental sustainability is built on foundational research for the World Bank and Nature Communications:
- GHG Emissions Modeling: Performed complex modeling of how agricultural support policies contribute to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
- Policy Repurposing: Contributed to landmark studies on repurposing agricultural subsidies to improve health, economic, and planetary outcomes.
- Productivity Gains: Investigated the incidence of farm subsidies on global agricultural productivity, providing evidence-based pathways for reform.
- National Food System Roadmaps & Poverty Dynamics
We utilize advanced multi-objective modeling and household-level data to support national-level policy decisions:
- Costing Transformation: Led the technical analysis and costing for national agrifood system transformation roadmaps in Cambodia, Madagascar, Zambia, and the DRC.
- Shock Resilience: Analyzed the poverty impacts of food availability responses to weather shocks, such as El Niño, in Southern and Eastern Africa.
- Harmonized Data Foundations: Developed the POVANA database, a multi-country household survey repository covering 600,000 households across 35 countries to support precise poverty analysis.
Intellectual Capital Summary
| Research Domain | Founder's Institutional Role (IFPRI/FAO) | CERE’s Current Offering |
|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy Monitoring | Lead Developer of Global Trackers | Agentic AI Trade Trackers |
| Macro-Modeling (CGE) | Co-Modeler for GHG & Market Volatility | Scenario & Foresight Analysis |
| Poverty & Nutrition | Lead Analyst for LSMS/POVANA Harmonization | Autonomous Survey Analytics |
| Incentives Analysis | Lead for AgIncentives Database | Rigorous Policy Evaluation |
The CERE Research Advantage
As a principal-led boutique firm, CERE ensures that the institutional rigor of our founder’s past work at IFPRI and the World Bank is integrated into every new project. We are now evolving this foundational expertise into Agentic AI solutions, automating the monitoring of global trade and commodity prices while preserving the methodological soundness required for decision-grade policy intelligence.